Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.000213 0.000238 0.000265 0.000296 0.000331 0.000368 0.000411
2025-06-01 0.000173 0.000206 0.000244 0.000290 0.000344 0.000407 0.000484
2025-06-08 0.000145 0.000184 0.000229 0.000287 0.000360 0.000447 0.000561
2025-06-15 0.000126 0.000167 0.000218 0.000287 0.000377 0.000490 0.000643
2025-06-22 0.000110 0.000152 0.000207 0.000285 0.000389 0.000527 0.000720
2025-06-29 0.000099 0.000143 0.000202 0.000288 0.000410 0.000574 0.000815
2025-07-06 0.000089 0.000134 0.000196 0.000289 0.000426 0.000617 0.000905
2025-07-13 0.000080 0.000124 0.000188 0.000287 0.000435 0.000650 0.000984
2025-07-20 0.000075 0.000120 0.000187 0.000294 0.000460 0.000707 0.001102
2025-07-27 0.000069 0.000114 0.000183 0.000297 0.000477 0.000752 0.001204
2025-08-03 0.000064 0.000108 0.000179 0.000297 0.000490 0.000792 0.001301
2025-08-10 0.000058 0.000102 0.000172 0.000294 0.000498 0.000825 0.001387
2025-08-17 0.000054 0.000098 0.000170 0.000297 0.000516 0.000876 0.001511
2025-08-24 0.000050 0.000092 0.000163 0.000294 0.000524 0.000910 0.001608
2025-08-31 0.000046 0.000087 0.000159 0.000293 0.000535 0.000952 0.001721
2025-09-07 0.000043 0.000083 0.000155 0.000294 0.000549 0.000999 0.001847
2025-09-14 0.000039 0.000079 0.000151 0.000292 0.000558 0.001036 0.001958
2025-09-21 0.000037 0.000076 0.000149 0.000296 0.000578 0.001096 0.002115
2025-09-28 0.000035 0.000073 0.000147 0.000297 0.000593 0.001147 0.002259
2025-10-05 0.000032 0.000070 0.000142 0.000294 0.000600 0.001183 0.002375
2025-10-12 0.000031 0.000069 0.000143 0.000302 0.000628 0.001262 0.002580
2025-10-19 0.000030 0.000066 0.000142 0.000305 0.000645 0.001321 0.002750
2025-10-26 0.000028 0.000064 0.000139 0.000305 0.000658 0.001370 0.002905